The Top 20% of Agents Do 65% of Transactions
/There is a commonly held belief that in real estate, the top 20 percent of agents do 80 percent of the deals – a ratio that is close, but not entirely accurate.
Why it matters: The truth is that the industry is concentrated, but not that concentrated – the top 20 percent of agents do 65 percent of deals – leaving a very long tail of producing agents.
Like my previous research, this data is provided by CoreLogic/Cotality, covering 85 percent of the market: 3.4 million sales and 840,000 producing agents in 2024.
And a shoutout to my friend Aziz Sunderji who I collaborated with on these fantastic visualizations.
Agent productivity is heavily weighted on each end of the spectrum: a small number of high-producers and a lot of low-producers.
The top 1 percent of agents, which also includes high-production teams, do an astonishing 18 percent of deals.
In a team, deal attribution usually falls to one agent, which makes it impossible to differentiate between individual agents and teams in the data.
Agent productivity varies wildly between these groups; a simple “average” doesn’t tell the whole story.
Highly productive agents and teams (the top 20 percent) are averaging 26 transactions per year.
While the remaining 80 percent of agents are averaging just 3.5 transactions per year.
A large number of low-producing agents seems to be a truism of the U.S. real estate market.
Even in a down market, the number of low-producing agents isn’t changing – in fact, it’s increasing.
Despite challenging market conditions, the survivability of the low-production, part-time agent remains as strong as ever.
The bottom line: The 80/20 rule is close, but not exactly the truth, when it comes to agent productivity in the U.S. real estate market.
In addition to a small, elite group of high-performing agents and teams, there is an extremely long tail of low-producing, part-time agents.
The implications are significant for anyone looking to parter with agents – portals, brokerages, or tech vendors – do you go after the small number of high-producers, or target the extremely long tail?